[EM] single winner? Maine -style IRV vs brainstorming

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[EM] single winner? Maine -style IRV vs brainstorming

Sennet Williams
I cannot figure this list out.   

IRV modernization is starting to sweep the country,  and we keep seeing posts about inferior theoretical systems that would not even be legal in the U.S.  (you cannot vote for more than one candidate for U.S. elections)

Maine's election system definitely picks a single candidate that is the most preferred vs all the losing candidates.
___

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Re: [EM] single winner? Maine -style IRV vs brainstorming

robert bristow-johnson



---------------------------- Original Message ----------------------------
Subject: [EM] single winner? Maine -style IRV vs brainstorming
From: "Sennet Williams" <[hidden email]>
Date: Thu, May 16, 2019 1:30 pm
To: "[hidden email]" <[hidden email]>
--------------------------------------------------------------------------

> I cannot figure this list out.   
> IRV modernization is starting to sweep the country,  and we keep seeing posts about inferior theoretical systems that would not even be legal in the U.S.  (you cannot vote for more than one candidate for U.S. elections)
> Maine's election system definitely picks a single candidate that is the most preferred vs all the losing candidates.___

No Sennet, it does not **always** pick the single candidate that is most preferred vs all of the losing candidates.  It is the same Single Transferable Vote (STV) method that is in use for all other governmental elections that I am aware of.  We have already, in 2009, demonstrated in Burlington Vermont that this STV method elected a candidate when another candidate was preferred over the STV winner by a margin exceeding 6.5%.

That is a fact.

I think STV RCV is better than no RCV.  But STV, unless it's IRV-BTR (bottom two runoff, which is Condorcet compliant), is worse than STV RCV because sometimes this STV will elect a candidate when more voters mark their ballots that they prefer a different *specific* candidate.   And when voting reform lite makes a mistake like this, the electorate reacts badly sometimes and sometimes the voting reform is repealed and set back at least an entire generation.

Wait 'til Maine gets a serious 3-way race where **all** 3 candidates are plausible winners going into the election (i.e. media polls show them as virtually tied going in).  That's when you might get a problem.  But if the potential spoiler candidate is *not* a plausible winner, that is does not have close to enough support to beat either of the front runners, but the spoiler **does** have enough votes to change who the winner is (like we had in Vermont for Governor in 2014) then STV does okay.  Then STV will solve the spoiler problem.

But in a tough 3-way race, funky things can happen with STV and **has** done so a decade ago in Burlington Vermont.

 

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r b-j                         [hidden email]

"Imagination is more important than knowledge."
 

 

 

 


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Re: [EM] single winner? Maine -style IRV vs brainstorming

robert bristow-johnson

i said this one sentence wrong.  here it is corrected:

"I think STV RCV is better than no RCV.  But STV, unless it's IRV-BTR (bottom two runoff, which is Condorcet compliant), is worse than Condorcet-compliant RCV because... "

---------------------------- Original Message ----------------------------
Subject: Re: [EM] single winner? Maine -style IRV vs brainstorming
From: "robert bristow-johnson" <[hidden email]>
Date: Thu, May 16, 2019 3:11 pm
To: "[hidden email]" <[hidden email]>
--------------------------------------------------------------------------

>
>
>
>
>
>
>
> ---------------------------- Original Message ----------------------------
>
> Subject: [EM] single winner? Maine -style IRV vs brainstorming
>
>
From: "Sennet Williams" <[hidden email]>
>
> Date: Thu, May 16, 2019 1:30 pm
>
> To: "[hidden email]" <[hidden email]>
>
> --------------------------------------------------------------------------
>
>
>
>> I cannot figure this list out.   
>
>> IRV modernization is starting to sweep the country,  and we keep seeing posts about inferior theoretical systems that would not even be legal in the U.S.  (you cannot vote for more than one candidate for U.S. elections)
>
>> Maine's election system definitely picks a single candidate that is the most preferred vs all the losing candidates.___
> No Sennet, it does not **always** pick the single candidate that is most preferred vs all of the losing candidates.  It is the same Single Transferable Vote (STV)
> method that is in use for all other governmental elections that I am aware of.  We have already, in 2009, demonstrated in Burlington Vermont that this STV method elected a candidate when another candidate was preferred over the STV winner by a margin exceeding 6.5%.
> That is a
> fact.
> I think STV RCV is better than no RCV.  But STV, unless it's IRV-BTR (bottom two runoff, which is Condorcet compliant), is worse than STV RCV because sometimes this STV will elect a candidate when more voters mark their ballots that they prefer a different *specific*
> candidate.   And when voting reform lite makes a mistake like this, the electorate reacts badly sometimes and sometimes the voting reform is repealed and set back at least an entire generation.
> Wait 'til Maine gets a serious 3-way race where **all** 3 candidates are plausible winners
> going into the election (i.e. media polls show them as virtually tied going in).  That's when you might get a problem.  But if the potential spoiler candidate is *not* a plausible winner, that is does not have close to enough support to beat either of the front runners, but the spoiler
> **does** have enough votes to change who the winner is (like we had in Vermont for Governor in 2014) then STV does okay.  Then STV will solve the spoiler problem.
> But in a tough 3-way race, funky things can happen with STV and **has** done so a decade ago in Burlington
> Vermont.
>  
> --
>
>
> r b-j                         [hidden email]
>
>
>
> "Imagination is more important than knowledge."
>
>  
>  
>  
>  
> ----
> Election-Methods mailing list - see https://electorama.com/em for list info
>

 

 

 


--

r b-j                         [hidden email]

"Imagination is more important than knowledge."
 

 

 

 


----
Election-Methods mailing list - see https://electorama.com/em for list info